Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243492           3          17          54          21           5        C3.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111360           3           8          64          16           9        C3.4
GOES Xray  =   1.31163e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            93           1           0          74          21           4        C5.7
 
together                             2.00        6.25       54.25       29.25        8.25     C6.5
 
realized                                                                                      C3.6