Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243763           3          13          54          25           5        C3.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00113243           3           4          70          18           5        C5.5
GOES Xray  =   1.34192e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            85           1           1          59          34           5        C7.0
 
together                             2.00        4.50       52.00       34.00        7.50     C8.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1