Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247020           2          13          56          23           6        C4.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00116556           3           1          70          24           2        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   1.63638e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           113           1           0          55          36           8        C8.4
 
together                             1.50        3.50       51.75       35.50        7.75     C8.2
 
realized                                                                                      M3.6