Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241367           3          15          65          15           2        C2.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103775           3          19          54          19           5        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   1.40472e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            94           1           0          69          25           5        C6.1
 
together                             2.00        8.50       53.25       29.50        6.75     C5.9
 
realized                                                                                      C5.5