Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235163           5          40          43          11           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000939520           1          39          49          11           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   7.41065e-07           1           0          49          42           8        M1.0
est. ISN   =            95           1           0          70          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             2.00       19.75       52.75       22.00        3.50     C3.5
 
realized                                                                                      C5.1