Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234113           4          44          39          12           1        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000938605           2          39          50           9           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   5.71024e-07           1           0          69          27           3        C5.8
est. ISN   =            61           3          15          61          19           2        C3.7
 
together                             2.25       24.50       55.00       16.75        1.50     C2.8
 
realized                                                                                      C2.7