Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235062           4          40          43          12           1        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000952769           1          34          51          13           1        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   6.29444e-07           1           0          66          30           3        C6.4
est. ISN   =            79           1           4          65          26           4        C5.0
 
together                             1.50       19.50       56.50       20.25        2.25     C3.6
 
realized                                                                                      C9.6