Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237999           5          25          56          12           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000980946           3          21          52          21           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   1.32702e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            79           1           4          65          26           4        C5.0
 
together                             2.50       12.50       49.50       29.50        6.00     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      M3.1