Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239976           2          14          60          23           1        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101739           2          18          58          20           2        C2.3
GOES Xray  =   1.40393e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            70           1           3          68          26           2        C4.3
 
together                             1.25        9.00       52.75       32.00        5.00     C5.1
 
realized                                                                                      M4.8