Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241935           2          15          62          17           4        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105927           2          14          59          20           5        C3.8
GOES Xray  =   1.56645e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            66           3           7          70          19           1        C3.2
 
together                             2.00        9.00       54.00       28.75        6.25     C5.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.8