Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239411           3          13          60          22           2        C3.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101926           2          18          57          21           2        C2.4
GOES Xray  =   1.15373e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            65           4          10          63          21           2        C3.8
 
together                             2.50       10.25       51.25       30.75        5.25     C4.6
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0