Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233116           4          48          37          11           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000912007           8          49          36           7           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   4.34100e-07           1           1          81          15           2        C3.3
est. ISN   =            62           5          14          59          20           2        C3.5
 
together                             4.25       28.25       53.25       13.25        1.00     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4