Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239057           4          16          57          21           2        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000996062           2          20          51          24           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   1.22844e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            47           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             2.75       14.75       48.75       28.25        5.50     C4.0
 
realized                                                                                      M8.6