Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238183           5          24          56          13           2        C2.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101514           1          17          58          22           2        C2.4
GOES Xray  =   9.97196e-07           1           0          32          57          10        M1.3
est. ISN   =            85           1           1          59          34           5        C7.0
 
together                             2.00       10.50       51.25       31.50        4.75     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      C4.5