Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238743           5          18          57          17           3        C3.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102326           3          16          55          22           4        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   9.91350e-07           1           0          34          55          10        M1.3
est. ISN   =            78           1           5          65          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             2.50        9.75       52.75       29.50        5.50     C5.2
 
realized                                                                                      C6.1