Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233003           3          47          38          12           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000928165           4          44          43           9           0        C1.1
GOES Xray  =   4.82648e-07           2           1          70          26           1        C5.4
est. ISN   =            34           7          47          35          11           0        B8.9
 
together                             4.00       34.75       46.50       14.50        0.25     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C7.5