Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233102           4          48          37          11           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000926068           5          46          43           6           0        B9.9
GOES Xray  =   5.43936e-07           1           0          70          26           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =            37           6          49          35          10           0        B8.3
 
together                             4.00       35.75       46.25       13.25        0.75     C1.7
 
realized                                                                                      C6.3