Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231692           7          41          44           8           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000888199           5          45          41           9           0        C1.1
GOES Xray  =   4.70064e-07           2           1          75          21           1        C4.8
est. ISN   =            48           4          21          63           9           3        C2.0
 
together                             4.50       27.00       55.75       11.75        1.00     C2.0
 
realized                                                                                      C2.2