Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233185           4          48          37          11           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000917832           7          51          35           7           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   5.86019e-07           1           0          68          28           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =            58           3          18          65          13           1        C2.9
 
together                             3.50       29.25       51.50       14.75        1.00     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C3.0