Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00249390           1           3          63          31           2        C4.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00119497           1           5          62          29           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   2.20088e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            61           3          15          61          19           2        C3.7
 
together                             1.50        5.75       52.75       34.50        5.50     C6.5
 
realized                                                                                      C9.0