Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247048           2          13          56          23           6        C4.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00117105           3           2          67          26           2        C4.6
GOES Xray  =   1.92269e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            89           1           0          75          20           4        C4.6
 
together                             1.75        3.75       55.75       32.00        6.75     C6.7
 
realized                                                                                      X1.9