Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00246025           2          15          52          22           9        C5.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00115375           3           3          73          19           2        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   1.75940e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           110           1           0          57          35           7        C8.3
 
together                             1.50        4.50       52.00       33.75        8.25     C8.3
 
realized                                                                                      M6.0