Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242352           1          13          63          19           4        C3.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108915           2          15          63          16           4        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   1.43826e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            97           1           0          65          29           5        C6.5
 
together                             1.25        7.00       54.00       30.75        7.00     C5.9
 
realized                                                                                      M2.4