Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241713           2          14          64          17           3        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108256           3          13          64          18           2        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   1.31799e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            78           1           5          65          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             1.75        8.00       54.50       29.50        6.25     C5.5
 
realized                                                                                      M4.4