Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238370           5          19          59          15           2        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103086           3          17          56          21           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   9.64797e-07           1           0          38          50          11        M1.2
est. ISN   =            73           1           6          54          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             2.50       10.50       51.75       30.25        5.00     C5.2
 
realized                                                                                      C9.7