Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233379           3          48          37          12           0        B9.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000927604           4          45          43           8           0        C1.1
GOES Xray  =   5.65577e-07           1           0          70          25           4        C5.1
est. ISN   =            43           4          35          54           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             2.75       32.00       51.25       12.50        1.50     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C3.8