Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232294           6          42          45           7           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000907891           6          51          35           8           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   4.78113e-07           3           1          71          24           1        C5.2
est. ISN   =            44           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             4.75       30.50       52.75       11.50        0.50     C1.7
 
realized                                                                                      C3.0