Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237267           1          26          60          11           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100637           1          15          56          25           3        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   8.76524e-07           1           0          50          43           6        C9.8
est. ISN   =            79           1           4          65          26           4        C5.0
 
together                             0.75       11.25       58.00       26.25        3.75     C4.3
 
realized                                                                                      C4.9