Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242737           2          14          63          18           3        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110496           3          10          65          14           8        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   1.36672e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            77           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             1.75        8.25       53.00       29.75        7.25     C5.8
 
realized                                                                                      C2.6