Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00244090           3          14          54          24           5        C3.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00115177           3           2          74          19           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   1.40086e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            90           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             2.00        4.00       56.75       30.50        6.75     C6.9
 
realized                                                                                      M5.7