Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00245122           4          15          50          24           7        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00117859           2           5          62          28           3        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   1.45282e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            97           1           0          65          29           5        C6.5
 
together                             2.00        5.00       50.50       35.00        7.50     C7.8
 
realized                                                                                      M4.2