Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239802           1          13          62          22           2        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106722           2          14          62          19           3        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   1.01698e-06           1           0          30          59          10        M1.4
est. ISN   =            77           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             1.25        9.00       53.25       32.00        4.50     C6.0
 
realized                                                                                      C9.6