Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240117           2          14          62          21           1        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107053           2          15          61          19           3        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   1.05962e-06           1           0          28          57          14        M1.7
est. ISN   =            76           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             1.50        9.50       52.50       31.25        5.25     C6.0
 
realized                                                                                      C6.5