Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239859           1          13          62          22           2        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106694           2          15          61          19           3        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   1.06120e-06           1           0          28          57          14        M1.7
est. ISN   =            64           4          11          58          25           2        C3.6
 
together                             2.00        9.75       52.25       30.75        5.25     C5.0
 
realized                                                                                      C8.3