Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238883           5          17          57          18           3        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104048           3          19          53          20           5        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   9.52447e-07           1           0          42          48           9        M1.1
est. ISN   =            69           1           5          68          24           2        C4.2
 
together                             2.25       10.50       55.00       27.50        4.75     C4.8
 
realized                                                                                      C2.9