Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237212           1          26          59          12           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100993           1          17          55          24           3        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   8.92795e-07           1           0          49          44           6        M1.0
est. ISN   =            62           5          14          59          20           2        C3.5
 
together                             2.00       14.25       55.50       25.00        3.25     C3.9
 
realized                                                                                      C3.3