Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237829           5          25          55          13           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101974           2          17          58          21           2        C2.5
GOES Xray  =   9.00300e-07           1           0          48          44           7        M1.0
est. ISN   =            70           1           3          68          26           2        C4.3
 
together                             2.00       11.50       57.25       26.00        3.25     C4.3
 
realized                                                                                      C4.5