Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236959           1          29          58          11           1        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100345           2          18          55          23           2        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   8.39696e-07           1           0          52          38           9        C8.6
est. ISN   =            80           1           3          65          27           4        C5.6
 
together                             1.00       12.50       57.75       24.75        4.00     C4.2
 
realized                                                                                      C7.4