Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231787           7          42          43           8           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000889924           5          46          42           7           0        B9.8
GOES Xray  =   3.98235e-07           1           3          76          19           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =            38           6          50          37           7           0        B8.8
 
together                             4.75       35.25       49.50       10.25        0.25     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      C3.8