Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231492           9          36          44          11           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000877859          11          44          40           5           0        B7.9
GOES Xray  =   4.12348e-07           1           1          79          17           2        C3.0
est. ISN   =            39           5          47          41           6           1        B9.6
 
together                             6.25       32.25       51.00        9.75        0.75     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      M3.3