Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233990           4          44          38          13           1        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000913221           8          51          35           6           0        B8.1
GOES Xray  =   7.34128e-07           1           0          50          40           9        C9.9
est. ISN   =            30           5          46          41           8           0        B9.9
 
together                             4.50       35.25       41.00       16.75        2.50     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C5.2