Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236521           2          29          58           9           2        C2.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000963793           1          31          52          14           2        C1.9
GOES Xray  =   1.05694e-06           1           0          28          57          14        M1.7
est. ISN   =            57           2          20          62          15           1        C2.7
 
together                             1.50       20.00       50.00       23.75        4.75     C3.6
 
realized                                                                                      C9.7