Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236400           4          29          57           8           2        C2.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000977217           3          24          52          18           3        C2.3
GOES Xray  =   8.01046e-07           1           0          53          38           8        C8.6
est. ISN   =            82           2           1          58          33           6        C7.2
 
together                             2.25       13.50       55.25       24.25        4.75     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      C6.6