Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240051           2          14          62          21           1        C3.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104032           3          19          53          20           5        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   1.19207e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            86           1           0          61          32           6        C7.0
 
together                             1.75        8.25       50.25       33.00        6.75     C6.5
 
realized                                                                                      X1.9