Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241560           3          17          62          15           3        C2.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107819           2          12          66          17           3        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   1.36776e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            99           1           1          67          26           5        C6.1
 
together                             1.75        7.50       55.00       29.25        6.50     C5.5
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1