Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241534           3          17          61          16           3        C2.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108359           3          13          64          18           2        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   1.21770e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           103           1           1          66          28           4        C5.5
 
together                             2.00        7.75       54.00       30.25        6.00     C5.4
 
realized                                                                                      C4.4