Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240793           3          13          68          14           2        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108118           3          12          65          18           2        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   1.13814e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            97           1           0          65          29           5        C6.5
 
together                             2.00        6.25       55.75       30.00        6.00     C5.6
 
realized                                                                                      M3.4