Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242795           3          14          62          18           3        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111814           3           7          64          17           9        C3.6
GOES Xray  =   1.28006e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           112           1           0          56          35           8        C8.4
 
together                             1.75        5.25       52.00       32.25        8.75     C7.2
 
realized                                                                                      C9.5