Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242964           2          15          61          19           3        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112857           3           4          68          18           7        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   1.25042e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           100           1           1          65          29           4        C6.3
 
together                             1.75        5.00       54.75       31.25        7.25     C7.3
 
realized                                                                                      C4.2