Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240364           2          13          63          19           3        C3.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108332           3          13          64          18           2        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   1.11307e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            94           1           0          69          25           5        C6.1
 
together                             1.75        6.50       55.25       30.25        6.25     C5.7
 
realized                                                                                      C4.1